2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley (2024)

Index Definitions

S&P 500 Index: The Standard & Poor's (S&P) 500 Index tracks the performance of 500 widely held, large-capitalization US stocks.

Risk Considerations

Equity securities may fluctuate in response to news on companies, industries, market conditions and general economic environment.

The value of fixed income securities will fluctuate and, upon a sale, may be worth more or less than their original cost or maturity value. Bonds are subject to interest rate risk, call risk, reinvestment risk, liquidity risk, and credit risk of the issuer.

High yield bonds (bonds rated below investment grade) may have speculative characteristics and present significant risks beyond those of other securities, including greater credit risk, price volatility, and limited liquidity in the secondary market. High yield bonds should comprise only a limited portion of a balanced portfolio.

Companies paying dividends can reduce or cut payouts at any time.

Asset allocation and diversification do not assure a profit or protect against loss in declining financial markets.

Investing in small- to medium-sized companies entails special risks, such as limited product lines, markets and financial resources, and greater volatility than securities of larger, more established companies.

Because of their narrow focus, sector investments tend to be more volatile than investments that diversify across many sectors and companies. Technology stocks may be especially volatile. Risks applicable to companies in the energy and natural resources sectors include commodity pricing risk, supply and demand risk, depletion risk and exploration risk. Health care sector stocks are subject to government regulation, as well as government approval of products and services, which can significantly impact price and availability, and which can also be significantly affected by rapid obsolescence and patent expirations.

The indices are unmanaged. An investor cannot invest directly in an index. They are shown for illustrative purposes only and do not represent the performance of any specific investment.

The indices selected by Morgan Stanley Wealth Management to measure performance are representative of broad asset classes. Morgan Stanley Wealth Management retains the right to change representative indices at any time.

Disclosures

Morgan Stanley Wealth Management is the trade name of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, a registered broker-dealer in the United States. This material has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security or other financial instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance.

Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC, its affiliates and Morgan Stanley Financial Advisors do not provide legal or tax advice. Each client should always consult his/her personal tax and/or legal advisor for information concerning his/her individual situation and to learn about any potential tax or other implications that may result from acting on a particular recommendation.

This material, or any portion thereof, may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Morgan Stanley Smith Barney LLC.

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CRC# 6187449 (01/2024)

2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley (2024)

FAQs

2024 U.S. Stock Market Outlook: A Time for Balance | Morgan Stanley? ›

Looking ahead, Morgan Stanley's Global Investment Committee believes investors should have a more measured outlook, with 2024 more likely to be an average year for markets than another double-digit winner, given risks such as the following.

What is the Morgan Stanley outlook for 2024? ›

Morgan Stanley economists anticipate U.S. growth of 2.6% in 2024 and 2.1% in 2025, compared with 2.5% in 2023. Year-over-year growth is likely to moderate toward the end of 2024 with fourth-quarter GDP growth of 2.1%, compared with 3.1% in the fourth quarter of 2023.

What is the outlook for Morgan Stanley? ›

Morgan Stanley expects 4.8% growth this year and 4.5% in 2025.

What is the stock market projection for 2024? ›

“For CY [calendar year] 2024, analysts are calling for (year-over-year) earnings growth of 11.0 percent. However, according to a Forbes Advisor analysis, high interest rates and tight credit markets are still having pronounced impacts on certain market sectors.

Is Morgan Stanley a good stock to buy now? ›

Morgan Stanley has a consensus rating of Moderate Buy which is based on 9 buy ratings, 10 hold ratings and 0 sell ratings. What is Morgan Stanley's price target? The average price target for Morgan Stanley is $102.40. This is based on 19 Wall Streets Analysts 12-month price targets, issued in the past 3 months.

What is the financial projection for 2024? ›

Global growth is projected at 3.1 percent in 2024 and 3.2 percent in 2025, with the 2024 forecast 0.2 percentage point higher than that in the October 2023 World Economic Outlook (WEO) on account of greater-than-expected resilience in the United States and several large emerging market and developing economies, as well ...

How financially strong is Morgan Stanley? ›

As a result of strong net new asset growth, the Firm has reached $7 trillion of client assets across Wealth and Investment Management. Institutional Securities also saw strength across the markets and underwriting businesses. The Morgan Stanley Integrated Firm model is delivering durable results.”

Should I pull my money out of the stock market? ›

Unlike the rapidly dwindling balance in your brokerage account, cash will still be in your pocket or in your bank account in the morning. However, while moving to cash might feel good mentally and help you avoid short-term stock market volatility, it is unlikely to be a wise move over the long term.

What is the target stock price forecast for 2024? ›

Target Stock Price Forecast 2024-2025

The forecasted Target price at the end of 2024 is $207 - and the year to year change +45%. The rise from today to year-end: +29%. In the middle of 2024, we expect to see $168.

What is the expected return of the stock market in the next 10 years? ›

Highlights: 5.2% 10-year expected nominal return for U.S. large-cap equities; 9.9% for European equities; 9.1% for emerging-markets equities; 5.0% for U.S. aggregate bonds (as of September 2023). All return assumptions are nominal (non-inflation-adjusted).

Which is better, Goldman Sachs or Morgan Stanley? ›

Goldman Sachs is most highly rated for Compensation and benefits and Morgan Stanley is most highly rated for Culture.

Is Morgan Stanley a safe place to invest? ›

Morgan Stanley accounts are FDIC-insured up to $500,000 per customer, per account. Yes. Accounts on E-Trade from Morgan Stanley offer double the insurance coverage compared to most other banks. Morgan Stanley accounts are FDIC-insured up to $500,000 per customer, per account.

Which company is better JP Morgan or Morgan Stanley? ›

Morgan Stanley is known for its strong wealth management and investment management services, while JPMorgan Chase, the largest U.S. bank by total assets, offers a broader range of services including a major retail banking operation.

What is the growth outlook for 2024? ›

The Economic Outlook projects steady global GDP growth of 3.1% in 2024, the same as the 3.1% in 2023, followed by a slight pick-up to 3.2% in 2025.

What is the outlook for investment banking in 2024? ›

On the back of expectations for a recovery in M&A and ECM activity and more DCM deals, IB firms have started responding positively and expect modest growth in 2024. We expect an increase in restructuring activity, especially in sectors such as commercial real estate, technology and consumer.

What is the investment strategy group outlook for 2024? ›

Additional key takeaways from ISG's 2024 Outlook include:

A 30% risk of recession in the US for the year ahead; Modest mid-single-digit returns for a 50% stocks–50% bonds benchmark; and. Significant geopolitical risks to the outlook, most of which originate from heightened geopolitical tensions and escalating wars.

What is the best investment in 2024? ›

Overview: Best investments in 2024
  1. High-yield savings accounts. Overview: A high-yield online savings account pays you interest on your cash balance. ...
  2. Long-term certificates of deposit. ...
  3. Long-term corporate bond funds. ...
  4. Dividend stock funds. ...
  5. Value stock funds. ...
  6. Small-cap stock funds. ...
  7. REIT index funds.

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