Should I Buy a House When Rates Are High or Wait? - Experian (2024)

In this article:

  • The Impact of Interest Rates on Home Buying
  • Pros and Cons of Buying a House in a High-Rate Environment
  • How to Be Strategic About Buying a Home

In the fall of 2021, the average interest rate on 30-year fixed mortgages was just under 3%. By fall of 2023, due to Federal Reserve rate hikes to curb inflation, it was nearly 8%.

Higher interest rates mean higher monthly mortgage payments and lifetime costs of a loan. They can also impact home prices and other dynamics of the housing market. Unfortunately, with housing inventory still limited and demand still high, housing affordability remains a challenge for many Americans. Buying a home in a high-interest environment isn't ideal, but in some situations it can be worth it. Here are some important things to consider.

The Impact of Interest Rates on Home Buying

The Federal Reserve doesn't set mortgage rates directly, but they influence interest rates by creating targets for the federal funds rate. Banks use these to set interest rates for borrowing and lending money. When rates set by the Federal Reserve are low, like during the pandemic, borrowing is cheap—but savings interest rates are negligible.

In recent years, the pandemic and foreign conflicts led to supply chain issues, a tight labor market and surging inflation, along with persistently high housing costs. In March 2022, the Fed began a series of rate hikes, hoping to calm hot housing markets and cool inflation, making borrowing more expensive.

This did cause home prices to stabilize or decrease in some markets. But there were also far fewer home sales as homeowners stayed put and renters kept renting, scared off by higher home prices and an increased cost of borrowing due to rising interest rates.

Mortgage Interest Rate Example

Say you bought a $350,000 home when rates were low. You got a 30-year fixed mortgage with a 20% down payment ($70,000). With a 3% interest rate, your monthly payment was $1,783.95 and your total cost of borrowing (including principal, interest, property taxes and home insurance) is $642,221.08.

For a mortgage of the same amount and term with a rate of 7.5% under higher-interest conditions, your monthly payment increases to $2,755.58. Over the 30-year term, the total loan cost is a staggering $992,010.28. The difference is around $350,000—the price of the entire house—all because of a few interest points.

Pros and Cons of Buying a House in a High-Rate Environment

Whether you're currently a renter or a homeowner trying to decide whether to sell and start over, consider these ups and downs of buying when mortgage rates are high.

Pros

  • Home prices and interest rates could keep rising, so while rates are higher than they were a few years ago, you might get a better deal now than if you wait.
  • With fewer buyers shopping right now due to higher costs of borrowing, you might have more negotiating power.
  • If housing demand continues to outstrip supply, you have a good chance of quickly building equity and making money if you sell.
  • You can refinance later if rates eventually decrease significantly.
  • Renting isn't cheap either; in most markets, buying may be cheaper than renting.

Cons

  • Monthly payments are larger and you're spending more on interest than principal compared to when rates are lower.
  • You might be priced out of a home size or area you could have afforded previously.
  • There's less home inventory available since homeowners are reluctant to sell and lose their low-rate mortgages.
  • If you own a home with a low interest rate, selling it to move means sacrificing it for a new, higher interest rate.
  • When combined with inflation and all the costs of homeownership, renting may be more affordable in the short term.

How to Be Strategic About Buying a Home

A purchase as massive as homebuying shouldn't be taken lightly, especially in an economy with inflation and steep interest rates and housing costs. As you weigh whether to buy or keep renting, here are strategies to save money.

1. Improve Your Credit

Higher credit scores indicate financial responsibility, which lenders often reward with lower rates. If you plan to buy in the near future, start making efforts to get your credit mortgage-ready so you can score the best rate possible when the time comes. Make sure to also compare rates across several lenders.

2. Explore Alternative Mortgages

Consider comparing conventional mortgages to other options, such as government-backed VA loans or FHA loans. They typically offer lower interest rates and down payment requirements.

You could also compare rates and costs of an adjustable-rate mortgage. These have fixed lower interest rates in the first months or years, then they become variable and can fluctuate. If you don't plan to own the home for long, or you're willing to gamble that rates won't go up, this could be worth a look.

3. Save More for a Down Payment

You can help offset larger monthly payments caused by higher rates by saving more for your down payment. The more you put down, the lower your mortgage balance and interest payments. Some lenders also offer better interest rates for higher down payments. Plus, if you get a conventional mortgage, putting down at least 20% avoids private mortgage insurance—an added monthly cost until you build up enough equity.

4. Request a Buydown

When getting a mortgage, you can buy discount points. This is like prepaid interest that reduces your interest rate for the life of the loan. Some states also allow sellers to pay the buydown fee. There may also be types where a seller purchases points that temporarily reduce the interest rate at the start of the loan. If you're in love with a home but current interest rates put it out of reach, inquire if the seller would consider paying for a buydown so you can afford the home.

5. Consider Compromises

If the market you desire becomes unaffordable with high interest rates, consider expanding your search radius. Perhaps there's an up-and-coming neighborhood worth exploring, or you decide a longer commute is worth it. If not, weigh if you can live with renting in the more desirable area instead.

You might also need to reset expectations on what type of home you buy. For example, settling for a smaller home, or one that needs some eventual updates rather than the dream home you've been eyeing.

If you're desperate to buy but can't stomach the price, consider getting a roommate or use Airbnb's room rental feature for an open bedroom. Just be prepared financially if you're without renters or roommates contributing for a month or longer.

6. Look into Local Programs

Many cities, counties and states have subsidized programs to make homebuying more affordable. There are requirements in areas such as income, job, type of property and sometimes being a first-time homeowner.

Some programs make grants for down payment assistance, offer zero-interest mortgages, reserve homes for those with certain incomes, sell homes at a discount or provide tax credits.

The Bottom Line

The Fed recently announced a series of target rate reductions through 2024, and mortgage rates have already started coming down from their recent high. But mortgage rates and home prices might still remain higher than buyers have become accustomed to in recent years.

Buying a home is the dream for many, but that doesn't mean it's right for every person and situation. If it's the right path for you, use the tips above to save where you can. If it's not yet in reach, keep improving your credit and saving your down payment. For the latter, take advantage of the positive side of high interest rates with a high-yield savings account or money market account to earn interest while saving for your down payment.

Should I Buy a House When Rates Are High or Wait? - Experian (2024)

FAQs

Should I Buy a House When Rates Are High or Wait? - Experian? ›

Pros. Home prices and interest rates could keep rising, so while rates are higher than they were a few years ago, you might get a better deal now than if you wait. With fewer buyers shopping right now due to higher costs of borrowing, you might have more negotiating power.

Is it better to buy a house when interest rates are high? ›

The bottom line. Today's elevated mortgage rate environment isn't preferable for homebuyers, but it doesn't mean that you should refrain from acting, either. If you discover your dream home, can afford the interest rate, find an affordable house, or have an alternative to rent, it can be worth it for you now.

What is a good Experian credit score to buy a house? ›

While credit score requirements vary based on loan type, mortgage lenders generally require a 620 credit score to buy a house with a conventional mortgage. Experian, TransUnion and Equifax now offer all U.S. consumers free weekly credit reports through AnnualCreditReport.com.

Will 2024 be a good time to buy a house? ›

Yes. This is the best time to buy a house in California. With the current trend in the CA housing market, you'll find better deals on your dream home during Q2 2024. As per Fannie Mae, mortgage rates may drop more in Q2 of 2024 due to economic changes, inflation, and central bank policy adjustments.

Should I wait to have 20% down payment? ›

For most homebuyers, a down payment of less than 20 percent will generally cost more money in the long run. But if saving up that kind of money will keep you from ever owning a home, it's worth considering.

Should you wait for interest rates to go down before buying a house? ›

The bottom line. Interest rates could drop in the future, but you may not want to wait for that to happen to buy a home. If you wait for rates to fall, you could face higher home prices or miss out on your dream home.

Will mortgage rates ever be 3 again? ›

It's possible that rates will one day go back down to 3%, though if current trends hold that's not likely to happen anytime soon.

What credit score is needed to buy a $400,000 house? ›

Your credit score has less bearing on your ability to get a mortgage than you might think. The minimum FICO score for a conventional loan is 620. The best rate comes with a score of 740 or higher. There is no particular advantage to having a score of 800, although it is, of course, laudable.

How rare is a 720 credit score? ›

Who Has a 720 Credit Score?
Credit ScoreTierPercentage of Americans
720 – 850Excellent38.12%
660 – 719Good17.33%
620 – 659Fair/Limited13.47%
300 – 619Bad31.08%

What credit score is needed for a 300K house? ›

The required credit score to buy a $300K house typically ranges from 580 to 720 or higher, depending on the type of loan. For an FHA loan, the minimum credit score is usually around 580.

Why you should wait till 2024 to buy a house? ›

Experts like Fannie Mae and the Mortgage Bankers Association predict that mortgage rates will decrease in 2024 and continue to drop in 2025 but this likely won't be until the latter half of the year.

Will mortgage rates drop in 2024? ›

Mortgage rates are expected to decline when the Federal Open Market Committee cuts the benchmark interest rate, which is likely to happen in the second half of 2024. But as long as inflation runs hotter than the Fed would like, rates will remain elevated at their current levels.

What is the best month to buy a house? ›

Late summer and early fall may give you the best of both worlds with a combination of good selection with less competition and slightly lower prices.

What is a good down payment on a $200 000 house? ›

How much is a down payment on a 200K house? A 20% down payment on a 200K house is $40,000. A 5% down payment is $10,000, and a 3.5% is $7,000. Talk with various lenders to see what you might qualify for.

Is $20,000 enough for a down payment on a house? ›

How Much of a Down Payment Do You Need for a $200,000 House? To purchase a $200,000 house, you need a down payment of at least $40,000 (20% of the home price) to avoid PMI on a conventional mortgage. If you're a first-time home buyer, you could save a smaller down payment of $10,000–20,000 (5–10%).

How much down payment for a 500k house? ›

Conforming loan down payments can vary from 3% to 20% or more, so for a $500,000 home, you'd need between $15,000 and $100,000. Conforming loans, once again, follow Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac guidelines and usually offer competitive terms.

Do they use Experian to buy a house? ›

The credit score used in mortgage applications

While the FICO® 8 model is the most widely used scoring model for general lending decisions, banks use the following FICO scores when you apply for a mortgage: FICO® Score 2 (Experian) FICO® Score 5 (Equifax) FICO® Score 4 (TransUnion)

What is a decent Experian credit score? ›

For a score with a range between 300 and 850, a credit score of 700 or above is generally considered good. A score of 800 or above on the same range is considered to be excellent. Most consumers have credit scores that fall between 600 and 750. In 2022, the average FICO® Score in the U.S. reached 714.

What is an acceptable Experian credit score? ›

Different companies will be looking for different things in potential customers, so while you may be one lender's cup of tea, you may not tick all the boxes for another. We provide a score from between 0-999 and consider a 'good' score to be anywhere between 881 and 960, with 'fair' or average between 721 and 880.

What is considered a good Experian credit score? ›

What Is a Fair Credit Score?
FICO® Score Ranges and Ratings
Credit ScoreRating
670-739Good
740-799Very Good
800-850Exceptional
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Mar 15, 2023

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